Risks Mount

100% Probability of Recession Ahead

Bloomberg Economics has raised the probability of recession in the next 12-months to 100%, the highest reading since the last two recessions, following the sharpest one-month increase in the history of its probability forecasting, as financial markets pullback and labor markets quickly deteriorate. Bloomberg projects that the U.S. economy will contract 9% this Q2 of 2020, with an even larger 14% pullback possible.

It’s time to act folks, to understand the macro and to manage your portfolio actively and accordingly. That’s what we do for our Subscribers. We display the macro, break down recession probability so you can understand the components, plot sector rotations and recent ETF flows so you can be a step ahead, and we provide actively-managed portfolio suggestions that will keep you safe, diversified and risk averse. Let us show you the way. Get prepared. Act now.

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Signals Matter Storm Tracker is our starting point when it comes to assessing global risk, the proximity of the next recession and the amount of current cash you should be safeguarding at any particular time. In this 5-Part Series, we breakdown the importance of GDP, Trend Patterns, Leading Indicators, Yield Curves and our proprietary timing indicator, Déjà Vu – all components of Storm Tracker. To trust Storm Tracker, this is a must-read Series, available by clicking below. 

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Rigged to Fail - Now Published

Despite the record-breaking (and frankly dangerous) market highs of the post-2008 “recovery,” current securities markets are poised for an equally record-breaking, and wealth destroying fall. Rigged to Fail explains all of this with math, not opinions, and offers elegant approaches to protect informed investors from losing fortunes in the pending market storm. With over 50 combined years working in and among Wall Street’s top global banks, family offices and alternative investment funds, Matt and Tom bring an insider’s perspective that is free of fluff but rich with straight-talk, not sales talk. 

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4 Easy and Must-Read Reports to Get You Started and in the Know

real financial advice

Real Financial Advice: Consider the Facts, Decide for Yourself

Dear Reader, if you’re looking for real financial advice and ways to manage your own portfolio, you’ve come to the
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market melt up now

A Market Melt-Up is Coming for 2019: Seven Tailwinds behind a Final Market Surge

Is a market melt-up coming? Yep. 73 shares For most of 2018, I warned my clients of a yield/interest-rate spike
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Market Meltdown

After the Melt-Up: Eight Triggers of a Market Meltdown

 Be warned: A market meltdown eventually (and always) follows a market melt-up… 55 shares  Market history confirms that markets can
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When Will the Market Crash

When Will the Market Crash?

For months, we have been asked hundreds of questions. We’ve endeavored to address nearly every query we receive directly or
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What’s On Our Mind These Days?

In addition to distilling our complex algorithms, technical and fundamental indicators down to simple signals that surpass industry leading funds, we also think—and write—a lot about the market environment. Chose from these and many more topics. Dive in!

market facts

Market Facts vs. Market Headlines

Market facts are being ignored as daily headlines vacillate in sync with equally volatile market swings. There’s something almost tragi-comical in watching ...
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Trace Routing

Trace Routing the Markets: Big Bad Wolf Ahead

Below we look at trace routing principles to make common sense out of a senseless market. As of this writing, the dips ...
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unlimited QE

Unlimited QE Means Unlimited Risk Ahead

Unlimited QE (Quantitative Easing—aka money printing) is now here, which means we are now experiencing the most distorted and dangerous inflection point ...
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active portfolio management

Four Secrets Why Active Portfolio Management (and Signals Matter) Is Essential Today

 Active portfolio management surpasses traditional, passive strategies now more than ever, and below we explain why in blunt-speak. As promised in Monday’s ...
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intelligent portfolios

Intelligent Portfolios in Times of Crisis

Below, we look at intelligent portfolios in a not-so-intelligent Fed backdrop of fragile and volatile market suffering. More importantly, we offer time-stamped ...
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Fed fraud

Fed Fraud: Highway to the Danger Zone

Below we look at Fed fraud masquerading as a Fed rescue. First—The Newest Data from DC Bloomberg’s Rich Miller recently announced that ...
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