FAQ's | Signals Matter



I’m shopping around the Web? Why SignalsMatter.com?

Fair enough. There are all kinds of investment sites on the web--from those offering “instant millions” in options or penny-stock trades to rather staid news aggregators or cookie cutter services that “design” stock/bond ETF portfolios for a fee. Somewhere among this mix, there are also a “few good people” giving “best-in-class” advice at one spot for a fair price. We feel we are slowly becoming the standard in this small group. Our trade results and testimonials speak for themselves, but we are much more than just a place to make money safely. Once you’ve read the primer and “surfed” around our site, we think you’ll agree that we offer more than the rest—and then some!

How should I get started?

We think the very best way to get started and test our strengths is to download the Free Investment Primer and read it cover-to-cover.  We know: no one has the time…but trust us, these times demand that you take the time. After all, this is your money we’re talking about. The benefit: it’s both comprehensive and free. At the very least, skim through it and read the sections that pertain to you. To get the most from Signals Matter, you need to develop an understanding of the big-picture conditions prevalent today, their implications for your very next investment decision, and the descriptions of how easily our signals work.

Scroll up and click on "How It Works" / "Free Investment Primer" to download. 

I’m a new Subscriber. Where should I go first?

Welcome aboard! Once you sign in as a Subscriber, the very best place to go is to your own Personalized Dashboard. In fact, we take you there automatically. If your name is Dan, this will be titled “Dan’s Dashboard.” The Dashboard provides your first stop for headline content on What’s New on the Website Today, a Daily Chart Watch and Commentary on an item of importance we wish to bring to your attention, a Short Form Weekly Trend Watch Heat Map, a Short Form Monthly Recession Watch Heat Map, and Market and Signal Tickers that click through to detailed charts of specific securities - all on one page.

Do you guys offer financial advice to individuals?

No, but you’ll get most of the advice you’ll ever need here. Although the combination of our free media offerings and The Market School (available to paid subscribers only) will more than equip you with what you should know about today’s financial markets, we do not offer specific investment advice tailored to your own risk and investment profile. In addition, our Free Investment primer walks you through an investment planning process that can be tailored to you. Try it, it’s free! It provides everyone, from total market novices to auto-pilot investors, every possible tool to either manage their own investments or gain the long-awaited knowledge and confidence to press their own advisors with the right (and tough) questions which may keep you up at night. Knowledge really is power, and Signals Matter, above all else, is about providing you knowledge in a quick, simple yet substantive way. We put the power in your hands.

What is Trend Watch?

Trend Watch is a weekly scan of marketplace Trends across Market Conditions, Global Equities, Global Bonds, Global Currencies and Global Commodities. Some of you may track stock trends only, others may be tracking broader asset classes. Either way, you’ll get all you need. Trends are algorithmically derived by parsing approximately 35 Global Indexes, all identified on the Trend Watch page. Indexes/asset classes that are rising or strengthening are shown as “Trending.” Indexes/asset classes shown as “Caution” are either flat or going sideways. Indexes/asset classes that are falling or weakening are shown as “De-Trending.” Trends are summed up and plotted on a Spider Chart that displays the relative strength of these trends across each Sector in multiple timeframes – daily, weekly and monthly. The further out on the trend diagram, the stronger the trend for that specific asset class/index. In one glance, you’ll see what asset classes are ripping, and which ones are getting battered or boring … and why. Trend algorithms are proprietary to Signals Matter, LLC.

Why do Trends matter?

Trends matter a bunch, especially when collectively measured over dissimilar time frames as they can frequently Signal a change in overall market direction. If stocks and bonds, for example, are screaming “Trend” in all timeframes, CAUTION: They could be overbought and ripe for correction to the down side. If the Trend in global currencies vs. the U.S. Dollar is increasing across timeframes, CAUTION: The U.S. Dollar is falling, affecting trade and potentially the relative value of global stock markets. If commodities are strengthening in Trend daily more than weekly, and weekly more than monthly, GOOD: The Trend is up and long positions could be considered. All of this, moreover, is explained in our weekly commentary on the Trend Watch page. We do the thinking for you, so that you can understand the forces at work and decide for yourself how much risk you want to take on, or leave off the table.

Your Spider Charts look complicated. Help me out.

Like anything, you’ll get used to our Spider Charts in no time. The chart plots the strength of Trends across three timeframes—daily, weekly, and monthly. They are super easy to see at a glance. It’s like having a thermometer for every major asset class—stocks, to bonds, to commodities etc. Each week, we also provide detailed commentary beside each Sector to inform what these Trends mean, what to look out for and what action to take, if any. Plus, Trends play a meaningful role in our Recession Watch so you’ll be a step ahead if you follow both. If you study our plot each week, you will become a better investor because you will see the opportunity (or storm) brewing before the tailwinds (or headwinds) pick up.

What is Recession Watch?

For starters, it’s our best seller. With stocks and bonds at nosebleed levels and as interest rates make a turn upwards, an increasing number of investors are camping onto the notion that nirvana cannot last forever. We agree. It cannot. And will not. Our many Blogs, Videos and Podcasts (under the “Media” tab) point to a correction. No one can perfectly time the first rain drops of a market storm, but we think we’re better than the rest at knowing when to reach for an umbrella. Think of our Recession Watch as a global heat map that shows you where we are in the economic cycle. Valuable? You bet. When the Recession Watch becomes over 50% Cautionary, it’s time to begin thinking defensively, to call your advisor so the two of you can agree on a plan if and as conditions deteriorate. And know this: being defensive very early is much wiser than being a minute to late once markets free-fall. Very few understand this, especially as markets break new records each week.

Why so much commentary?

Because we like to back up our math with clear word translations and because we seek to back up what we’re projecting with objective analysis not blogish opinions (though we love our blogs!). To the extent we are Bullish, Cautionary or Bearish, we want you to know why. If we are 60% Cautionary, that’s significant so we want you to know, for example, that central banks, yield curves, inflation, confidence, trade and the like are, on average, flat or not as strong as they should be. So, if Trend Watch (totally objective) is showing stocks and bonds at nosebleed levels, and the Recession Watch (both objective and subjective) is signaling over 50% Caution, then again, it’s probably time to trim those sails and dust off the game plan.

Are your Media posts current? Do older posts have any present value?

First, we post at least two blogs a week as well as podcast and video per week so that we can meet the diverse preferences of readers, audiophiles or the more visually oriented. Naturally, the most recent posts will be the most current, but we work very hard to make each post educational as well as topical. This means a blog, for example, on Bitcoin’s latest moves or Tesla’s appalling balance sheet may presumably seem stale after a week of price action (as these assets can move dramatically in a week), but we take pains to make every post more than just an “update” on a daily topic. Instead, these posts are carefully designed to provide and include “evergreen” or long-term insights rather than just a trendy soundbite. If you read a post on Amazon’s stock price, for example, you’ll be learning about a lot more than just Amazon’s profile; you’ll be learning about balance sheet analysis, central bank influence on pricing in general or a given security in particular. In other words, even if you read something in December that was posted last May, we’re certain you’ll find something directly applicable to your current and evolving market mind.

Do the blogs, podcasts and videos cover the same topics?

Yes and no. The podcasts and videos are more “evergreen” (timeless/broad) in scope - hitting big topics like central banks, the bond market, tech sector risks, opportunities and the like, whereas the blogs focus on more specific variable within these topics. That said, any and all of these media options provide a very user-friendly way to stay current while also receiving a slow drip market education in language you can understand.

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We study mountains of complex market data that understandably bores normal folks and which conventional advisors either ignore or don’t grasp. We then distill hundreds of indicators into simple to understand active signals, clearly telling you which securities are safe to buy, sell, and how the overall market is trending.