Macro Thoughts Archives | Page 2 of 7 | Signals Matter

Macro Thoughts

the Warfare State

The Fed, The Warfare State and The Wall Street Bailout—Three Skunks in the American Woodpile.

  Below we look at the Fed, the budget of the Warfare State and the post-08 Wall Street bailout to

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October 2018 Market Volatility

October Market Volatility—The Real Story and The Bear to Come.

  Below, we look at the October market volatility in the context of interest rate reality (as opposed to stock

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The Big Fat Myth: Surging Earnings, Unemployment and GDP Growth

  Below, we look at the reality behind surging earnings, unemployment and GDP growth. The Sell-Side Happy Faces I recently

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More Market Fog: The S&P Earnings Myth and Single-Family Housing Lie

  Below we look at the 2018 S&P earnings myth and the most recent real estate data from the Fed

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Blurring the Truth: Banking Risks and the Main Stream Financial Media

  Below, we look at the main stream financial media, its bias toward spreading calm rather than reality, and the

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Market Highs

Bull Markets Quietly Galloping Into an Eventual Massacre From Market Highs

  Below we look at the facts and numbers behind three great myths: 1) strong markets, 2) a robust trade

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Going to Cash—Even Wayyyyyyy Too Early is Better than a Minute Too Late.

  Below, we look at the regrets of being too soon and too deep in cash, as well as recent

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Safe Haven

US Markets: Safe Haven and/or Just the Best Horse in the Global Glue Factory?

  Below we look at Asian Markets, the European Union, US Markets and the relationship between central banks, bonds, inflation,

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yield shock

Is the Dam About to Burst? Not Enough Fingers to Prevent a Yield Shock.

  Below, we look at stocks, bonds, central banks, and the inevitable bursting of the market bubbles in which we

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Italian bond market

Is Rome Burning? The Italian Bond Market and Smoke from the ECB

Italian bond market Below we look at the Italian bond market, the ECB and the over-all risks facing a global

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